Although the track is looking better, still do not let your guard down. Continue to prep, its better to be prepared than not prepared at all.
Tropical Depression 9 (Imelda if named) is expected to strengthen as it moves northward toward South Carolina, before turning off to the east as a hurricane. There continues to be a threat of heavy rainfall early next week, particularly in eastern South Carolina and near the coast. Storm surge, coastal flooding, and strong wind are also possible. The full 5pm National Hurricane Center forecast is located below.
The latest weather briefings from NWS offices around the state can be found at:
NWS Columbia: www.weather.gov/cae/briefing
…DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY…
At 5pm EDT, Tropical Depression Nine was located 760 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina coast with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph. On the forecast track, the center of the system is expected to move across the Bahamas on Sunday and approach the southeast U.S. coast early next week. A slow motion and turn toward the east is forecast Tuesday and Wednesday.
Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and the system is forecast to become a Tropical Storm by early Sunday and a Hurricane by Tuesday.
Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities
Beaufort, SC
38%
Charleston, SC
42%
Georgetown, SC
18%
Myrtle Beach, SC
36%
Little River, SC
34%
Rainfall
By early next week, moisture from Tropical Depression Nine is expected to bring a threat of heavy rainfall from the east coast of Florida northward into the eastern Carolinas.
Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are possible, with localized totals of 10 inches across portions of the coastal Carolinas. This rainfall could result in flash, urban, and river flooding. Changes in the forecast track could result in adjustments to these rainfall totals.
Surf
Swells generated by this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the southeast U.S. coast early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. It is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of any storm surge impacts.
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The forecast track has shifted slightly more offshore since yesterday’s update. On the current forecast track, Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine (Imelda if named) is expected to near the South Carolina coast Tuesday and Wednesday as a category 1 hurricane before stalling and making a slight turn east. Because of the change to a more offshore track, the estimated arrival of tropical storm force winds has slowed from the previous forecast, now showing 8am Tuesday as most likely. The National Hurricane Center’s forecast discussion continues to warn of uncertainty after 72 hours, and notes that even if the system remains offshore, it would still be large enough and close enough to South Carolina to cause wind and coastal flooding, as well as heavy rainfall/flooding concerns in inland areas. The full 5am National Hurricane Center forecast is below.
The latest weather briefings from NWS offices around the state can be found at:
NWS Columbia: www.weather.gov/cae/briefing
…DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED…
At 5am EDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine was centered about 790 miles south-southwest of the South Carolina coast with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1007 mb.
The system is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph. A north-northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the system is expected to move across the Bahamas this weekend and approach the southeast U.S. coast early next week.
Since yesterday, the forecast track has shifted slightly more offshore of the Southeast U.S. It should be noted that while this forecast keeps the system offshore, there is still significant uncertainty. It would still be large enough and close enough to cause wind and coastal flooding impacts along the southeastern U.S. coast, as well as heavy rainfall/flooding concerns in inland areas.
The system is expected to become a Tropical Depression by tonight. Gradual strengthening is forecast thereafter, with the system becoming a Tropical Storm by early Sunday, and a Hurricane by late Monday.
Rainfall
Moisture from the disturbance could lead to a threat of heavy rainfall from this system well to the north across portions of the Southeast and Virginia into early next week which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding.
Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities
Beaufort, SC
41%
Charleston, SC
43%
Georgetown, SC
21%
Myrtle Beach, SC
37%
Little River, SC
35%
Surf
Swells generated by both this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the southeast U.S. coast early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
It remains too early to know the exact details of the storm surge threat.
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⚠️⚠️ The purpose of these alerts are to be proactive. Follow Clarendon County Emergency Management/911 Dispatch for updates. ⚠️⚠️🌊 Tropical System 94L Update 🌊
I’m starting to get a lot of questions about the tropical system currently being tracked as Invest 94L . There’s a lot of info circulating on social media—some accurate, some not, and some pure hype. The truth is: there’s still a lot we don’t know. But what we do know is this—there is a very real possibility that South Carolina could see a landfalling tropical storm, or even a hurricane, on Monday or Tuesday of next week.
📍For us, your weekend plans should include:
• Being prepared for potential power outages—stock up on batteries, flashlights, and water.
• Making sure you have a way to receive alerts if cell service goes down.
• If you rely on medical equipment that needs power, have a backup plan.
✅ Turn to reliable sources for updates such as the National Hurricane Center and your local National Weather Service office.
👉 The bottom line: It’s too early to know exactly what this storm will do, but it’s not too early to prepare. A little readiness now goes a long way later. Stay weather-aware, stay calm, and stay steady.
*Keep in mind, the red area in this graphic is NOT a cone nor a track. It indicates where the storm itself might initially form.
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Today, September 24, is National Firefighter Suicide Awareness Day.
We remember the firefighters we have lost, while raising awareness and reminding every warrior that help is always available.
If you or someone you know is struggling, please reach out:
📱 Crisis Text Line: Text BLUE to 741741 for free, 24/7 confidential support.
☎️ National Suicide Prevention Lifeline: Call 1-800-273-TALK (8255) or visit suicidepreventionlifeline.org
🌐 1st Help: A searchable database of emotional, financial, and spiritual assistance for first responders: 1sthelp.org
🧡 Warriors Heart: A private, accredited treatment program serving exclusively warriors, military, veterans, and first responders, who are struggling with addiction, PTSD, and other invisible wounds.
Call 855-610-1003 or visit warriorsheart.com
Thank you to First Help for leading the way in bringing awareness and resources to our firefighters and first responders.
To our firefighters: you are never alone. Your life matters. 🧡
#NationalFirefighterSuicideAwarenessDay #WarriorsHeart #1stHELP #YouAreNotAlone #EndTheSilence
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Today, we pause to recognize National Emergency Medical Services (EMS) Suicide Awareness Day.
We remember the EMS professionals we have lost, while raising awareness and reminding every warrior in uniform that help is always within reach.
If you or someone you know is struggling, please reach out:
📱 Crisis Text Line: Text BLUE to 741741 for free, 24/7 confidential support.
☎️ National Suicide Prevention Lifeline: Call 1-800-273-TALK (8255) or visit suicidepreventionlifeline.org
🌐 1st Help: A searchable database of emotional, financial, and spiritual assistance for first responders: 1sthelp.org
🧡 Warriors Heart: A private, accredited treatment program serving exclusively warriors, military, veterans, and first responders, who are struggling with addiction, PTSD, and other invisible wounds.
Call 855-610-1003 or visit warriorsheart.com
Thank you to First Help for continuing to lead the way in supporting our EMS professionals and first responders.
To all EMS warriors: you are never alone. Your life matters. 💜
#EMSSuicideAwarenessDay #WarriorsHeart #1stHELP #YouAreNotAlone #EndTheSilence
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